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不透明的野心:已追逐并已在轨的太空武器

不透明的野心:已追逐并已在轨的太空武器

C2🇺🇸 English → 🇨🇳 中文

October 6th, 2026

不透明的野心:已追逐并已在轨的太空武器

C2
Please note: This article has been simplified for language learning purposes. Some context and nuance from the original text may have been modified or removed.

🇨🇳 中文

空军部长特洛伊·梅因克近日证实美国已在太空部署武器,此举引发了相当大的关注。

Air Force Secretary Troy Meink recently commanded considerable attention by affirming that the United States has deployed weaponry in space.

然而,他并未进一步阐述这些武器的性质、其运作机制,抑或它们是否旨在瞄准太空中的其他物体。

He stopped short, however, of expounding upon the nature of those weapons, the mechanisms by which they operate, or whether they were intended to target other objects in space.

并非只有美国在太空武器方面的种种举措始终笼罩在迷雾之中。

It is not solely the United States' endeavours apropos of space weaponry that persist in being enshrouded in obscurity.

接下来是对令专家们萦绕于怀的种种问题所展开的审视:

What ensues is a scrutiny of the issues that preoccupy experts:

梅因克在一次防务会议上发表讲话时声称,美国已部署了“能够保护联合部队免受敌方敌对行动的在轨太空控制武器”,此处指的是美军。

Addressing a defense conference, Meink asserted that the United States had fielded “on-orbit space control weapons capable of defending the Joint Force against hostile adversary action,” a reference to U.S. forces.

梅因克所暗指的具体武器类别仍无法确定。

The precise category of weapon to which Meink alluded remains indeterminate.

诸如《2026年全球反太空能力报告》之类的出版物——由非营利组织安全世界基金会发布,且以公开可得的信息为依据——旨在对潜在的空间武器加以概述。

Publications such as the 2026 Global Counterspace Capabilities Report — issued by the nonprofit Secure World Foundation and predicated upon publicly available information — serve to furnish an overview of potential space weapons.

该报告列举了五类截然不同的反太空能力,并对13个国家当前正在研发的相关系统予以审视,其中包括美国、俄罗斯、中国、印度、澳大利亚、法国、伊朗和以色列。

The report enumerates five distinct categories of counterspace capabilities, subjecting to scrutiny the systems currently under development by 13 countries, among them the U.S., Russia, China, India, Australia, France, Iran, and Israel.

该报告涵盖旨在与航天器交会对接、实施侦察、使其失能或予以摧毁的卫星,并进一步审视旨在以动能方式摧毁卫星的陆基、空基或海基导弹拦截器。

The report encompasses satellites engineered to rendezvous with, scrutinise, incapacitate, or annihilate spacecraft, and further scrutinises ground-, air-, or sea-launched missile interceptors purposed to effect the kinetic destruction of satellites.

此外,该报告着重强调了电子战——其中以干扰为首要手段——以及旨在致眩或瘫痪卫星传感器的激光器与高功率微波武器。

Moreover, the report underscores electronic warfare—jamming foremost among its modalities—alongside lasers and high-power microwaves designed to dazzle or incapacitate satellite sensors.

报告还进一步列举了针对天基网络的网络行动。

It further enumerates cyber operations directed against space-based networks.

该基金会倡导和平利用太空,其太空安全与稳定首席主任维多利亚·萨姆森表示,各类卫星的存在及其在轨道上的实际位置相当透明,但其能力和预期用途却较难理解。

Victoria Samson, chief director of space security and stability at the foundation, which advocates for the peaceful use of space, said the existence of various satellites and their physical location in orbit is fairly transparent but their capabilities and intended uses are harder to understand.

例如,总部设在维也纳的联合国外层空间事务厅通过管理一份登记册来倡导外层空间的透明度,该登记册将每个物体归属于对其负责的国家。

For instance, the Vienna-headquartered United Nations Office for Outer Space Affairs champions transparency in outer space by administering a register that ascribes each object to the state accountable for it.

加入1976年协定的国家有义务提供有关政府和私营企业所进行发射的详细信息,以及该空间物体的一般功能,但并无义务披露涉及其用途的细节。

States that acceded to a 1976 agreement are obliged to furnish particulars concerning launches conducted by governments and private enterprises, along with the space object's general function, yet are under no obligation to disclose details pertaining to its purpose.

2021年有消息披露,中国曾测试过一颗配备机械臂的卫星,该机械臂能够向目标系统机动、将其抓取并使其偏离轨道,这充分体现了双重用途潜力。

Illustrative of dual-use potential, it emerged in 2021 that China had tested a satellite equipped with a robotic arm capable of maneuvering toward a system, grappling it, and displacing it from orbit.

2022年,中国首次运用此类系统将其一颗报废卫星拖离轨道。

In 2022, China employed such a system for the first time to tow one of its defunct satellites out of orbit.

此外,两年前,美国曾警告称,俄罗斯正在研发一种新型天基反卫星武器,尽管白宫当时坚称这一危险并非迫在眉睫。

Moreover, two years prior, the U.S. had cautioned that Russia was in the process of developing a novel space-based anti-satellite weapon, although the White House maintained at the time that the peril was not imminent.

时任白宫国家安全发言人的约翰·柯比,对于该武器是否具备核能力这一问题避而不答,不过他确实承认,其部署将违反《外层空间条约》。

John Kirby, then the White House national security spokesman, demurred on the question of whether the weapon possessed nuclear capability, though he did concede that its deployment would contravene the Outer Space Treaty.

俄罗斯驳斥了有关其正在发展任何此类新型能力的说法。

Russia repudiated assertions that it was cultivating any such novel capability.

《外层空间条约》乃是确立规范主权国家探索与利用外层空间之框架的首要国际文书。

The Outer Space Treaty constitutes the preeminent international instrument establishing the normative framework governing the exploration and utilisation of outer space by sovereign states.

除俄罗斯外,美国、中国以及其他所有拥有核武器的国家均为该条约的签署国。

In addition to Russia, the U.S., China and all other nuclear-armed nations are signatories to the treaty.

第四条明确规定,各缔约国“承诺不在环绕地球的轨道上放置任何载有核武器或任何其他种类大规模毁灭性武器的物体,不在天体上装置这种武器,也不以任何其他方式在外层空间设置这种武器”。

Article IV stipulates that the parties “undertake not to place in orbit around the earth any objects carrying nuclear weapons or any other kinds of weapons of mass destruction, install such weapons on celestial bodies, or station such weapons in outer space in any other manner.”

该条约进一步规定,外层空间构成全球公域,仅可用于和平目的。

The treaty further stipulates that outer space constitutes a global commons, to be utilised exclusively for peaceful purposes.

该条约缔结于1967年冷战巅峰之际,其诞生正值美国与苏联竞相探索太空、并已在轨道上实施一系列核试验的关键节点。

Concluded in 1967, at the height of the Cold War, the treaty came into being at a juncture when the United States and the Soviet Union were vying to explore space and had conducted a series of nuclear tests in orbit.

在那个节点上,太空呈现出截然不同的面貌。

At that juncture, space presented a radically different aspect.

乔纳森·麦克道尔是哈佛-史密森天体物理中心的一位荣休天文学家,四十余年来一直致力于对卫星发射进行细致入微的追踪。

Jonathan McDowell, an astronomer emeritus affiliated with the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, has devoted over four decades to the meticulous tracking of satellite launches.

据麦克道尔所述,截至1967年底,共有128颗卫星在轨并与地球保持通信。

By the close of 1967, 128 satellites were in orbit and communicating with Earth, according to McDowell.

彼时,所有卫星均出自国家支持的公共事业项目。

At that juncture, all satellites were the product of state-backed, public undertakings.

这与麦克道尔所描述的当今约16810颗在运卫星形成了鲜明反差——其中相当大一部分来自SpaceX的星链网络等企业。

This stands in stark contrast to what McDowell characterizes as approximately 16,810 functioning satellites today — a great many of which emanate from companies such as SpaceX’s Starlink network.

1962年,作为鱼缸行动的一部分,美国在太空中接连引爆了一系列核装置。

In 1962, as part of Operation Fishbowl, the United States detonated a succession of atomic devices in space.

其中的首次试验——海星一号——是从位于夏威夷西南方的一座环礁上发射的。

The inaugural one, the Starfish Prime test, was launched from an atoll situated to the southwest of Hawaii.

随之而来的爆炸产生了一个人工辐射带,摧毁了数颗卫星,并导致夏威夷各地的路灯和电话线路部分瘫痪。

The ensuing explosion generated an artificial radiation belt that annihilated several satellites and partially incapacitated street lights and telephone lines across Hawaii.

同样,苏联在1961年至1962年间以K项目的名义在外层空间进行了核爆炸。

Similarly, the Soviet Union undertook nuclear detonations in outer space under the auspices of Project K between 1961 and 1962.

这些试验引发了电网故障,导致电话线瘫痪,并燃起一场大火,摧毁了哈萨克斯坦的一座整座发电厂。

These tests precipitated electrical grid failures, rendered telephone lines inoperative, and ignited a conflagration that annihilated an entire power plant in Kazakhstan.

这些试验赤裸裸地揭示了太空中的原子爆炸对地球民用基础设施和通信所构成的巨大危险,从而促使超级大国寻求达成一项禁止在太空部署核武器及其他大规模毁灭性武器的协议。

The trials laid bare the formidable peril that atomic detonations in space present to civilian infrastructure and communications on Earth, impelling the superpowers to pursue an accord proscribing nuclear weapons and other weapons of mass destruction in space.

分析人士主张,该条约未能应对当代某些紧迫的现实需求。

Analysts contend that the treaty fails to grapple with some of the exigencies of the contemporary era.

犁铧项目——一家致力于和平与安全研究的加拿大机构——的高级研究员杰西卡·韦斯特指出,规范太空的法律框架亟需“根本性变革”。

Jessica West, a senior researcher at Project Ploughshares—a Canadian institute dedicated to peace and security research—remarked that the legal framework governing space stood in need of being “fundamentally changed.”

她指出,尽管《外层空间条约》发挥着“宪法性基础”的作用,至今依然切合实际且适用,但国际社会尚未着手开展围绕该条约构建法律架构的“艰苦工作”——尤其是在完善太空活动核查机制,以及将其原则扩展至涵盖禁止在太空部署常规武器方面。

She observed that although the Outer Space Treaty functions as a “constitutional foundation” that remains pertinent and applicable, the international community has yet to undertake the “hard work” of constructing a legal architecture around the treaty—particularly with respect to refining verification mechanisms for space activities and extending its principles to encompass a prohibition on conventional weapons in space.

密西西比大学法学院航空航天法中心执行主任米歇尔·汉伦对此表示赞同,并指出该条约在禁止常规武器方面存在一处“空白”。

Michelle Hanlon, executive director of the Center for Air and Space Law at the University of Mississippi School of Law, concurred, observing that the treaty exhibits a “gap” with respect to the prohibition of conventional weapons.

据萨姆森称,旨在谈判一项禁止在外层空间部署一切武器的新框架的国际努力已陷入僵局,原因在于各方对何为太空武器缺乏共识,此外还有诸多其他考量因素。

International endeavours to negotiate a novel framework proscribing all weaponry in outer space have reached an impasse, owing to the absence of consensus regarding what constitutes a space weapon, among sundry other considerations, according to Samson.

她说,这些能力中有相当一部分属于“两用”性质,因为它们既可用于民用也可用于军事用途,这使得对何为武器的任何界定都本质上难以捉摸。

A considerable proportion of these capabilities are “dual use,” she said, in that they are amenable to both civilian and military applications, which renders any definition of what constitutes a weapon inherently elusive.

“人们接近一颗卫星可能是为了给它加注燃料,但同样也可能是为了向其释放物体、用激光瞄准它,或试图对其施加干扰,”萨姆森说道。

“One may approach a satellite in order to refuel it, but one may equally approach a satellite in order to release objects at it, train a laser upon it, or attempt to jam it,” Samson said.

关于禁止武器的审议恰逢一个时期,在此期间,美国在唐纳德·特朗普总统的主持下,日益将太空领域置于优先地位。

The deliberations concerning the prohibition of weaponry coincide with a period in which the United States, under the aegis of President Donald Trump, has increasingly prioritized the domain of space.

2019年,在其首个任期内,特朗普将太空军确立为一个独立的军种。

In 2019, during his inaugural term, Trump established the Space Force as a distinct military branch.

在其第二任期内,他公布了“金穹”导弹防御系统,其中包含在太空部署武器的计划。

In his second term, he has unveiled the “Golden Dome” missile defense system, encompassing plans to deploy weaponry in space.

俄罗斯与中国为颁布一项禁止在外层空间部署任何武器的新条约所做的努力已然受挫,部分原因在于各方未能就定义达成一致。

Endeavours by Russia and China to promulgate a novel treaty proscribing the emplacement of any weaponry in outer space have foundered, owing in part to the absence of an agreed definition.

此外,华盛顿方面坚持认为,该协议对陆基反卫星导弹视而不见,而此类导弹的部署会产生大量危险的轨道碎片。

Furthermore, Washington maintains that the accord turns a blind eye to ground-based anti-satellite missiles, whose deployment generates prodigious quantities of hazardous orbital debris.

2021年11月,俄罗斯发射了一枚此类导弹,摧毁了一颗废弃的苏联时代卫星,产生了超过1500块碎片,这些碎片加剧了国际空间站上美国和俄罗斯宇航员以及中国天宫空间站上宇航员所面临的危险。

In November 2021, Russia launched one such missile to annihilate a defunct Soviet-era satellite, generating in excess of 1,500 fragments of debris that heightened the peril to American and Russian astronauts aboard the International Space Station, as well as to those aboard China's Tiangong space station.

鉴于全面条约的谈判进展似乎已陷入僵局,国际磋商已转向围绕太空负责任行为的审议,其中涵盖防止空间碎片累积等紧迫要务。

With progress on the full treaty seemingly at an impasse, international negotiations have pivoted toward deliberations on responsible conduct in space, encompassing such imperatives as averting the accumulation of space debris.

萨姆森指出,美国长期以来一直奉行防止空间碎片累积的政策,因为此类碎片可能危及航天飞行的安全,并证明有损于美国的自身利益。

Samson stated that the United States has long adhered to a policy of forestalling the accumulation of space debris, inasmuch as such debris can jeopardize the safety of space flight and prove inimical to American self-interest.

她进一步断言,同理,梅因克所提及的天基武器在性质上或许可能是非动能性的——例如干扰器。

She further averred that, by the same token, the space-based armaments to which Meink alluded might conceivably be non-kinetic in nature—jammers, for instance.

太空碎片不仅由动能太空武器所催生,亦源于卫星碰撞并碎裂为无数碎片及更细微的颗粒物,这些碎片以高速穿行,且具备摧毁或损坏其他航天器的能力。

Space debris is engendered not solely by kinetic space weapons but also through the collision and shattering of satellites into innumerable fragments and finer particulates, which traverse at high velocity and possess the capacity to destroy or damage additional spacecraft.

“倘若你开始出现碰撞催生更多碎片、而更多碎片又催生更多碰撞的情形,你便面临……这种不可逆连锁效应的风险,”西悉尼大学国际法荣休教授、邦德大学专业研究员史蒂文·弗里兰如是说。

"If you begin to have collisions engendering more debris, and more debris engendering more collisions, you run the risk... of this irreversible cascading effect," said Steven Freeland, emeritus professor of international law at Western Sydney University and professorial fellow at Bond University.

据欧洲航天局称,地球轨道上的太空监视网络例行追踪着约46,950块碎片。

According to the European Space Agency, some 46,950 pieces of debris are routinely tracked by space surveillance networks in Earth's orbit.

该机构借助统计建模推断,另有数百万计的微小太空碎片正环绕地球运行。

Drawing upon statistical modelling, the agency posits that many millions of additional diminutive fragments of space debris are orbiting the Earth.

记者们从众多私人基金会获取资金支持。

Reporters derive financial backing from a multiplicity of private foundations.

美联社独自对所有内容承担责任。

AP alone bears responsibility for all content.

美联社与慈善机构合作的标准、支持者名单以及受资助报道的领域均可在AP.org上查阅。

AP’s standards for collaborating with philanthropies, a roster of supporters, and the areas of funded coverage are available at AP.org.

October 6th, 2026

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