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為什麼債券殖利率在上升,以及為什麼這對每個人都很重要

為什麼債券殖利率在上升,以及為什麼這對每個人都很重要

B2🇺🇸 English → 🇹🇼 中文

September 24th, 2026

為什麼債券殖利率在上升,以及為什麼這對每個人都很重要

B2
Please note: This article has been simplified for language learning purposes. Some context and nuance from the original text may have been modified or removed.

🇹🇼 中文

債券殖利率已升至約二十年來的最高水準。

Bond yields have risen to their highest levels in about two decades.

這會影響所有借錢的人,從受通膨所苦的民眾到興建AI資料中心的企業都包括在內。

This affects anyone who borrows money, from people struggling with inflation to businesses building AI data centers.

對不借錢的人來說,這件事也很重要。

It also matters to people who do not borrow.

儲蓄者可以從債券或高收益儲蓄帳戶賺到更多利息。

Savers can earn more interest from bonds or high-yield savings accounts.

不過,他們401(k)帳戶裡的股票價值可能下跌。

However, the value of stocks in their 401(k) accounts could fall.

對美國納稅人來說,殖利率上升意味著聯邦政府要為債務支付更多利息。

For U.S. taxpayers, higher yields mean the federal government pays more interest on its debt.

這會讓其他需求可用的錢變少。

This leaves less money for other needs.

政府和大型企業透過向投資人出售借據來籌措資金。

Governments and large companies raise money by selling IOUs to investors.

他們不向銀行貸款,而是用這種方式籌錢。

They do this instead of asking banks for loans.

多年後才償還的借據稱為債券。

IOUs repaid years later are called bonds.

債券發行後,投資人會在債券市場買賣。

Investors trade them in the bond market after they are issued.

如果債券看起來比較不吸引人,買家就能用低於100美元的價格,買到原本價值100美元的債券。

If bonds look less attractive, a buyer can get one earlier worth $100 for less than that.

這張債券仍支付相同的利率,所以新買家能獲得更高的百分比報酬。

The bond still pays the same interest rate, so the new buyer gets a bigger percentage return.

這種報酬稱為殖利率。

That return is called the yield.

當債券價格下跌時,殖利率就會上升,反過來也是如此。

When a bond's price drops, its yield rises, and the reverse is also true.

美國財政部是債券市場的核心。

The U.S. Treasury is the centerpiece of the bond market.

它的殖利率是大多數其他借款利率的基準。

Its yields are the baseline for most other borrowing rates.

例如,30年期固定房貸利率很可能是10年期美國財政部殖利率再加上一些。

A 30-year fixed mortgage rate, for example, is likely the 10-year Treasury yield plus more.

這取決於借款人的信用評分。

This depends on the borrower's credit score.

不同的美國財政部債券會影響不同的貸款,從12個月期定存單到企業借款都是。

Different Treasury bonds affect different loans, from 12-month certificates of deposit to company borrowing.

它們不一定總是同步變動,但現在它們全都在上升。

They do not always move together, but right now they are all rising.

10年期美國財政部殖利率在週四攀升到接近5.18%。

The 10-year Treasury yield climbed to nearly 5.18% on Thursday.

這回到了2007年的水準。

That is back to where it was in 2007.

這個殖利率在2020年因COVID疫情觸底、跌破0.50%之後,就一直在攀升。

The yield has been climbing since bottoming below 0.50% in 2020 because of the COVID pandemic.

在與伊朗的戰爭推高油價和通膨憂慮之後,它的上升速度加快了。

Its rise sped up after the war with Iran sent oil prices and inflation worries higher.

美國長期房貸平均利率自2025年初以來首次達到7%。

The average long-term U.S. mortgage rate has reached 7% for the first time since early 2025.

美國公債殖利率偏高,也壓低了股票、黃金和加密貨幣的價格。

High Treasury yields also undercut prices for stocks, gold, and cryptocurrencies.

最近這波上升,很大一部分來自油價上漲和通膨憂慮。

Much of the recent rise comes from higher oil prices and inflation worries.

它也來自美國政府和企業不斷增加的債務。

It also comes from growing government and corporate debt.

部分原因也反映美國經濟穩健,這可能促使聯準會再次升息。

Part of it also reflects a solid U.S. economy, which could lead the Federal Reserve to raise rates again.

全球各地的殖利率都在攀升,包括德國和日本。

Yields are climbing worldwide, including in Germany and Japan.

September 24th, 2026

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