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北约指挥官:北约不想打仗,但“今晚就准备战斗”

北约指挥官:北约不想打仗,但“今晚就准备战斗”

C1🇺🇸 English → 🇨🇳 中文

October 12th, 2026

北约指挥官:北约不想打仗,但“今晚就准备战斗”

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Please note: This article has been simplified for language learning purposes. Some context and nuance from the original text may have been modified or removed.

🇨🇳 中文

北约最高军事指挥官表示,一旦遭到攻击,该联盟“随时准备今晚就投入战斗”,而欧洲官员则警告称,俄罗斯可能会通过增加隐蔽攻击或发动有限军事入侵来试探北约的防御。

NATO’s top military commander said the alliance is “ready to fight tonight” if it is attacked, while European officials warn that Russia could test NATO’s defenses through increased covert attacks or a limited military incursion.

近几个月来,欧洲国家面临着俄罗斯秘密活动的增加,包括对一家爱沙尼亚国防公司的纵火袭击,以及在德国机场袭击一架乌克兰飞机的未遂企图。

In recent months, European nations have faced a rise in covert Russian activity, including an arson attack on an Estonian defense company and a failed attempt to attack a Ukrainian aircraft at a German airport.

北约最高盟军指挥官、美国将军阿莱克修斯·格林凯维奇周一在华沙表示,如果俄罗斯决定攻击北约,北约将动用传感器、自主系统和军事力量予以回应,以阻止任何攻击。

If Russia decides to attack NATO, the alliance will respond by using sensors, autonomous systems and military force to stop any assault, NATO’s Supreme Allied Commander U.S. General Alexus Grynkewich said in Warsaw Monday.

格林凯维奇在华沙安全论坛上发表讲话时,阐述了他所称的北约“胜利理论”。

Addressing the Warsaw Security Forum, Grynkewich laid out what he termed NATO’s “Theory of Victory.”

这位北约指挥官表示,他并不认为冲突迫在眉睫或不可避免,而维护和平最有效的手段就是在做好战争准备的同时,保持畅通的沟通渠道,以“化解误解”。

The NATO commander stated that he does not regard a conflict as either imminent or inevitable, and that the most effective means of preserving peace is to prepare for war while sustaining open channels of communication in order to “resolve misunderstandings.”

格林凯维奇没有提供具体细节,说明北约正在准备应对何种类型的攻击,也没有说明在哪里,或使用何种力量。

Grynkewich gave no specific details about what kind of attack NATO is preparing for, nor where, nor with what kind of forces.

但在概述对俄罗斯攻击可能作出的回应时,格林凯维奇表示,北约的陆海空联合力量将采取行动,阻止莫斯科夺取领土,并使俄罗斯无法守住阵地。

But outlining what a response to a Russian attack could look like, Grynkewich said NATO's combined land, sea and air forces will move to stop Moscow seizing territory and deny Russia the ability to hold ground.

“我的胜利理论很简单,”他在华沙安全论坛上宣称。

"My theory of victory is simple," he declared to the Warsaw conference.

我们将阻挡最初的攻击。

We will block the initial attack.

如果攻击持续,我们将削弱其锋芒,并阻止敌方的任何推进。

If the attack continues, we will blunt it and stop any enemy advance.

如有必要,我们将击溃敌军以及针对我们部署的作战体系。

And if needed, we will break the enemy's forces and the operational war-fighting system arrayed against us.

他说,这不仅涵盖进攻部队,还包括为其提供支持、维持和控制的所有要素。

That encompasses not merely the attacking force but every element that supports, sustains and controls it, he said.

近几周,欧洲高级官员和情报机构警告称,在非洲大陆发生一连串破坏事件之后,俄罗斯可能正计划通过增加秘密攻击甚至入侵来考验北约联盟。

In recent weeks, senior European officials and intelligence services have warned that Russia may be planning to test the NATO alliance through increased covert attacks or even an incursion, following a spate of sabotage incidents across the continent.

丹麦国防情报局特别警告称,俄罗斯可能利用此类策略来分裂北约联盟。

Denmark’s defense intelligence service specifically warned that Russia could use such tactics to split the NATO alliance.

但与此同时,唐纳德·特朗普总统同意从俄罗斯购买柴油,试图在中期选举前压低美国油价,此举也在欧洲引发了轩然大波。

But at the same time, President Donald Trump has also sent shock waves through Europe by agreeing to a deal to buy diesel from Russia in an attempt to lower prices in the U.S. ahead of the midterm elections.

今年早些时候,美国总统表示他将从欧洲撤出美军,而他与伊朗的战争已导致欧洲先进防空导弹出现严重短缺。

Earlier this year, the U.S. president said he was pulling American troops out of Europe, and his war with Iran has caused critical shortages of advanced air defense missiles in Europe.

格林凯维奇表示:“归根结底,部队部署在何处是一个政治决定”,但“任何人都不应质疑美国对联盟的承诺”。

“Ultimately it’s a political decision,” as to where troops are deployed, but “no one should question the U.S. commitment to the alliance,” Grynkewich said.

格林凯维奇强调,联盟成员必须协调一致,对俄罗斯的活动作出“连贯”的回应,从而向莫斯科明确表明“我们的红线在哪里”。

Grynkewich stressed that it was important for alliance members to coordinate a “coherent” response to Russian activity, so as to make clear to Moscow “where our red lines are.”

他表示,面对俄罗斯日益增多的恶意活动和破坏行为,回应之道应当是加倍支持乌克兰。

The response to increased Russian malign activity and sabotage, he said, should be to redouble support for Ukraine.

尽管波兰总理唐纳德·图斯克警告称,俄罗斯正计划通过无人机或火箭袭击支持乌克兰的欧洲盟友来使局势升级,但其他国家却呼吁保持冷静。

While Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk warned that Russia is planning to escalate with drone or rocket strikes on European allies supporting Ukraine, other countries have called for calm.

丹麦国防情报局表示,俄罗斯对与俄罗斯接壤的一个或几个北约国家发动有限军事攻击的“风险虽低,但正在上升”。

Denmark’s Defense Intelligence Agency said there is a “low but growing risk” that Russia will launch a limited military attack against one or several NATO countries bordering Russia.

北约并不寻求与任何国家开战,但它能够侦测到即将发生的军事攻击,并且“不太可能被打个措手不及”,格林凯维奇说道。

NATO does not seek war with anyone, yet it will detect an impending military attack and “is unlikely to be caught by surprise,” Grynkewich said.

尽管格林凯维奇表示,北约将利用传感器和自主系统网络防御俄罗斯的任何攻击,但一些北约国家此前在模拟无人机战争的演习中表现不佳。

Although Grynkewich said NATO would defend against any attack by Russia using a network of sensors and autonomous systems, some NATO nations have previously struggled to perform in exercises simulating drone warfare.

它们在探测和应对进入其领空的无人机入侵方面也面临挑战。

They have also faced challenges detecting and responding to incursions of drones which have entered their airspace.

多架攻击无人机在毗邻俄罗斯、乌克兰和白俄罗斯的北约成员国境内坠毁。

Multiple attack drones have crashed across NATO member states bordering Russia, Ukraine and Belarus.

此外,今年5月,一架无人机误入立陶宛领空后,立陶宛首都维尔纽斯的居民被指示寻求避难。

Moreover, in May, residents of the Lithuanian capital, Vilnius, were instructed to seek shelter after a drone strayed into Lithuanian airspace.

当被问及北约能否以格林凯维奇所描述的方式威慑俄罗斯时,他的发言人马丁·奥唐奈上校表示,北约国家正越来越多地部署地面传感器和其他技术来探测和对抗无人机。

When asked whether NATO could deter Russia in the way Grynkewich described, his spokesperson, Col. Martin O’Donnell, said NATO nations are increasingly deploying ground sensors and other technology to detect and counter drones.

他说,连接击落无人机系统和传感器的网络正在建立之中,尽管他们尚未击落任何无人机。

The network that connects systems to shoot down drones and sensors is in the process of being established, although they have not yet taken down any drones, he said.

9月,德国指责俄罗斯策划在莱比锡机场部署一架装载爆炸物的无人机,以袭击一架乌克兰飞机。

In September, Germany accused Russia of orchestrating a plot at Leipzig airport to deploy a drone laden with explosives against a Ukrainian aircraft.

英国官员同样声称,他们挫败了一起针对伦敦郊外一处无人机设施的俄罗斯阴谋,而爱沙尼亚官员则将一家国防公司发生的火灾归咎于俄罗斯。

British officials likewise asserted that they had foiled a Russian plot targeting a drone facility outside London, while Estonian officials attributed a fire at a defense company to Russia.

这些事件属于自莫斯科入侵乌克兰以来西方官员归咎于俄罗斯、且记者追踪到的至少211起事件之列。

The incidents are among at least 211 that Western officials have blamed on Russia since Moscow's invasion of Ukraine and that Reporters has tracked.

在9月早些时候发布的评估报告中,丹麦国防情报局认为,俄罗斯可能会试图获取乌克兰无人机并用其攻击欧洲,以掩盖俄罗斯的任何参与。

In its assessment released earlier in September, Denmark’s defense intelligence service suggested that Russia might try to obtain Ukrainian drones and use them to attack Europe, so as to hide any Russian involvement.

图斯克表示,俄罗斯很可能会将任何袭击说成是“意外”,以便“瘫痪或至少削弱北约国家”在成员国遭受攻击时迅速提供防御的意愿。

Tusk suggested that Russia would likely present any attacks as “accidental” in order to “paralyze or at least weaken the motivation of NATO countries” to rush to the defense of a member state coming under attack.

丹麦国防情报局表示,任何此类攻击的目的都在于将欧洲的资源从支持乌克兰的方向转移开,并在北约内部制造分裂。

The Danish service said the aim of any such attack would be to divert European resources away from supporting Ukraine and sow division in NATO.

但丹麦国防情报局和奥唐奈都表示,在俄罗斯仍在乌克兰作战的情况下,要对北约发动一场公然攻击将十分困难。

But both the Danish service and O’Donnell said while Russia is fighting in Ukraine, it would be difficult to launch an outright attack on NATO.

October 12th, 2026

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