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Middle East conflict drives up oil prices, inflation pressure persists

Middle East conflict drives up oil prices, inflation pressure persists

C1🇹🇼 中文🇺🇸 English

September 11th, 2026

Middle East conflict drives up oil prices, inflation pressure persists

C1
Please note: This article has been simplified for language learning purposes. Some context and nuance from the original text may have been modified or removed.

🇺🇸 English

US inflation accelerated last month as petrol prices soared following the renewed conflict in the Middle East, underscoring the affordability challenge that weighs most heavily on many voters' minds with just seven weeks to go until the midterm elections.

美國上月通膨加速,原因是中東衝突再起後汽油價格飆升,這凸顯了在期中選舉僅剩七週之際,許多選民最為關切的負擔能力挑戰。

The Labor Department announced on Friday that the Consumer Price Index had climbed 3.4% compared with the same period a year earlier, matching July's pace.

勞工部於週五公布消費者物價指數較去年同期攀升3.4%漲幅與7月持平

However, inflation accelerated on a monthly basis, rising 0.4% from Julyfour times the 0.1% increase recorded the previous month.

然而通膨按月呈現加速態勢較7月上揚0.4%相當於前一個月0.1%增幅的四倍之多

More than five years after the economy emerged from the post-pandemic surge in prices, inflation remains stubbornly high.

在經濟擺脫疫情後物價飆升已逾五年之際通膨仍頑固地居高不下

Friday's report has intensified pressure on the Federal Reserve's inflation-fighting officials, compelling them to raise the benchmark interest rate next week, which could drive up the cost of mortgages and car loans in the coming months.

週五的報告加大了聯準會抗通膨官員壓力迫使他們下週提高基準利率這可能在未來幾個月推高房貸和汽車貸款成本

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh and other Fed officials have hinted that they will keep interest rates unchanged only if inflation continues to cool.

聯準會主席凱文·沃什及其他聯準會官員已暗示,唯有在通膨持續降溫的情況下,他們才會維持利率不變。

"Today's August report did not deliver that," said Kathy Bostjancic, chief economist at Nationwide.

「今天的8月報告並未帶來這一點,」Nationwide首席經濟學家凱西·博斯蒂安契奇表示。

It is not only gasoline prices that have risen.

上漲的不只是汽油價格

Last month, the prices of household appliances, car repairs, and wireless phone services also climbed sharply.

上月家電汽車維修無線電話服務的價格大幅攀升

However, economists worry that more expensive fuel could spill over into other parts of the economy.

然而經濟學家擔心更昂貴的燃料可能波及經濟的其他部分

The price of diesel has hit a record high of more than $6 per gallon, driving up the cost of transporting groceries and other goods.

柴油價格已創下每加侖超過6美元歷史新高推高了雜貨和其他商品運輸成本

The latest data shows that airfare prices climbed 2.7% compared with the previous month, and soared by more than 23% year on year.

最新數據顯示,機票價格較上月攀升2.7%,與去年同期相比更飆漲逾23%。

After excluding the more volatile food and energy categories, core prices in August rose 2.4% year on year, slightly below July's 2.5%, marking the third consecutive decline.

剔除波動較大的食品和能源類別後,8月核心價格較去年同期攀升2.4%略低於7月的2.5%此乃連續第三次下降

However, on a month-on-month basis, core prices climbed 0.3% from July to August, the largest increase since April.

然而若按月計算7月至8月核心價格上漲0.3%4月以來最大增幅

Core prices unexpectedly rose on a monthly basis, a development that could strengthen the position of Federal Reserve officials who are pushing for interest rate hikes.

核心價格按月意外上漲此情況可能壯大那些推動加息的聯準會官員的聲勢

According to CME Group's FedWatch, Wall Street investors now believe the probability that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates on September 16 exceeds 80%, a jump of 10 percentage points from Thursday.

根據芝商所Fedwatch華爾街投資者如今認為聯準會於9月16日加息的機率超過80%較週四躍升10個百分點

The Trump administration is working to ease voters' concerns about soaring prices and rising interest rates.

川普政府正致力於緩解選民對於物價高漲利率攀升的憂慮

On Wednesday, President Donald Trump pledged that if the Republicans manage to retain their majority in Congress, he will distribute $5,000 to every American adult.

總統唐納德·川普於週三承諾倘若共和黨得以維持國會多數席次向每位美國成年人發放5,000美元

This measure would still require congressional approval and risks exacerbating inflation.

此舉尚需國會批准恐有加劇通膨之虞。

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has stepped up government bond buybacks in order to push down long-term interest rates.

財政部長斯科特·貝森特已加大國債回購力度,以壓低長期利率

The yield on 10-year Treasury bonds reached a nearly three-year high on Thursday, and on Friday it was still trading at an elevated 4.9%.

10年期國債殖利率週四觸及近三年高點週五仍交易於4.9%的高位

Chris Mitchell, 36, who works as a customer service representative for an auto parts retailer, admits that he is still struggling to cover rent, food, and other everyday expenses, and his financial burden is undoubtedly heavier than it was before the pandemic.

現年36歲的克里斯·米切爾,受僱於一家汽車零件零售商擔任客服人員,他坦言至今仍為應付房租食品及其他日常開支而苦苦掙扎,其經濟負擔相較疫情前無疑更形沉重

Mitchell recalls that before the outbreak of COVID-19, he used to dine out two or three times a week and was a regular theatregoer, yet since then he has cut back on these activities considerably.

米切爾憶及在COVID-19爆發之前,他每週外出用餐兩到三次經常光顧劇院然而自那時起他已大幅削減這些活動

He and his girlfriend together own three cars that are roughly 20 years old.

與女友共擁有三輛車齡約莫20年汽車

The rent for the home he shares with his girlfriend and her 12-year-old child rose by $200 this year, reaching $2,300.

與女友及其12歲孩子同住的住所今年房租上漲了200美元達到2,300美元

The sole reason he moved in with them in the first place was to cope with his various bills more comfortably.

當初他之所以搬去與她們同住無非是為了更從容地應付各項帳單

"I've been struggling for a long time, I really need a raise, and I intend to make that request to my boss next week, in fact," he said.

我長期以來始終倍感吃力我著實需要加薪而我打算下週就向老闆提出這項要求事實上,」他表示

He had received a raise two years ago, "but that money has long since been insufficient."

他兩年前曾獲得一次加薪,「但如今這筆錢早已不敷使用。」

A report released on Friday showed that petrol prices climbed by 3.9% between July and August alone, leaving them more than 27% higher than a year earlier.

週五發布的報告顯示光是7月至8月期間汽油價格便攀升了3.9%致使油價較一年前高出逾27%

The continued rise in pump prices means inflation is likely to deteriorate further this month.

加油站價格持續走揚意味著本月通膨情勢恐將進一步惡化

On Friday, the national average price of petrol stood at $4.30 a gallon, 7% higher than a month earlier.

週五全國汽油平均價格每加侖4.30美元較一個月前高出7%

In addition to the rising cost of airfares, hotel room rates climbed by 2.4% between July and August alone, and were 3.2% higher than a year earlier.

除了機票成本攀升之外,酒店房價僅在七月至八月間便已上漲2.4%相較於一年前更高出3.2%

The cost of car repairs rose by 1.1% in the past month alone, and was up 5.2% compared with a year ago.

汽車維修費用單是上月就攀升了1.1%與一年前相比則上漲5.2%

The rise in the cost of services such as hotel rooms and wireless plans will also unsettle many Federal Reserve officials, since these costs are not driven by higher energy prices.

酒店客房與無線方案等服務成本的攀升,也將令許多聯準會官員感到不安,因為這些成本並非由能源價格上漲所驅動。

"Analysts and the Fed had been counting on prices in these categories to have slowed by now," Scott Anderson, chief U.S. economist at BMO Capital Markets, wrote in a report.

分析師聯準會此前一直指望這些類別價格到現在已經放緩,」BMO資本市場首席美國經濟學家斯科特·安德森在一份報告中寫道

"The trends evident in the August CPI report do not inspire confidence that inflation is continuing to fall back toward the 2% target."

8月CPI報告所呈現的趨勢並不能讓人相信通膨正繼續朝2%的目標回落。」

On Thursday, a wholesale price report showed that chemical prices had surged, a phenomenon most likely caused by rising oil prices.

週四,一份批發價格報告顯示,化學品價格出現飆升,此現象極有可能是油價上漲所致。

Prices for clothing and groceries remained unchanged from July to August, offering consumers some respite, even though egg prices climbed 2.9% last month.

服裝與雜貨的價格自7月至8月維持不變為消費者帶來些許喘息空間儘管上月雞蛋價格攀升了2.9%

However, egg prices are still down sharply compared with a year ago.

然而雞蛋價格相較於一年前仍呈現大幅下滑

For a long time, many economists and Federal Reserve officials have maintained that rising gasoline prices are one of several "one-off" shocks pushing inflation up, alongside others such as tariffs and a surge in investment in AI data centers.

長期以來許多經濟學家聯準會官員一直認為汽油價格上漲推升通膨幾個「一次性」衝擊之一其他還包括關稅對AI數據中心投資激增

For months, there had been hopes that inflation would gradually decline as the war with Iran wound down and the effects of tariffs faded.

數月來人們一直希望隨著對伊朗戰爭逐漸平息關稅影響消退通膨將逐步走低

However, there is little sign that the war with Iran is cooling down; even Trump has said that gasoline prices will not fall until after the midterm elections in November.

然而幾乎沒有跡象顯示伊朗戰爭降溫甚至川普也表示汽油價格要到11月期中選舉之後才會回落

Moreover, although Trump's trade war with Canada will affect only a small number of imported goods, it still serves as a reminder that tariffs remain a threat that could drive up other costs.

而且儘管川普與加拿大的貿易戰只會影響少數進口商品,它提醒人們關稅依然是一項可能推高其他成本威脅

"This is not a one-off, isolated incident," Bostjancic said.

這並非一次性的偶發事件,」博斯蒂安契奇表示

"It remains unclear when tensions in the Middle East might finally subside... This looks likely to develop into a protracted and intractable mess."

中東地區緊張局勢究竟何時方能平息目前仍不明朗……這似乎有可能演變成一場曠日持久難以收拾混亂局面。」

Friday's report has led many economists to predict that the Fed will raise interest rates at its next meeting on September 15-16.

週五的報告已促使許多經濟學家預測聯準會將在9月15日至16日的下次會議上加息

In a closely watched speech two weeks ago, Chairman Warsh hinted that he was inclined to raise rates, but he did not commit to doing so at any particular time.

沃什主席兩週前在一次備受關注的演講中暗示他傾向於加息但並未承諾在特定時間這樣做

Warsh has said that he is reluctant to reveal his next move, which has created some uncertainty ahead of the meeting.

沃什曾表示,他不願透露自己下一步的行動,這使得會議前出現了一些不確定性。

At its last policy meeting at the end of July, the Federal Reserve kept its key interest rate unchanged; however, three officials voted in favour of a quarter-point increase, which would have raised it from 3.6% to about 3.9%.

聯準會在7月底的最後一次政策會議上將關鍵利率維持不變,然而有三名官員投票支持加息四分之一個百分點,此舉本會將其從3.6%提高到約3.9%。

September 11th, 2026

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