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為什麼債券殖利率在上升,又為什麼這對每個人都很重要

為什麼債券殖利率在上升,又為什麼這對每個人都很重要

A2🇺🇸 English → 🇹🇼 中文

September 24th, 2026

為什麼債券殖利率在上升,又為什麼這對每個人都很重要

A2
Please note: This article has been simplified for language learning purposes. Some context and nuance from the original text may have been modified or removed.

🇹🇼 中文

債券殖利率已經升到大約20年來最高的水準。

Bond yields have gone up to their highest levels in about 20 years.

這會影響任何借錢的人。

This affects anyone who borrows money.

這會影響正在對抗通膨的人。

It affects people who are struggling with inflation.

這也會影響建造AI資料中心的企業。

It also affects businesses that build AI data centers.

這對不借錢的人也很重要。

It matters to people who do not borrow too.

存錢的人可以從債券或高收益儲蓄帳戶賺到更多利息。

Savers can earn more interest from bonds or high-yield savings accounts.

但是他們401(k)帳戶裡的股票價值可能會下跌。

But the value of stocks in their 401(k) accounts could fall.

對美國納稅人來說,殖利率變高代表聯邦政府要為債務付更多利息。

For U.S. taxpayers, higher yields mean the federal government pays more interest on its debt.

這樣就剩下更少的錢給其他需求。

That leaves less money for other needs.

政府和大型公司向投資人賣借據來籌錢。

Governments and big companies raise money by selling IOUs to investors.

他們不向銀行借錢。

They do not ask banks for loans.

多年後才還錢的借據叫做債券。

IOUs that are paid back years later are called bonds.

債券發行後,投資人在債券市場買賣它們。

Investors trade them in the bond market after they are issued.

如果債券比較不吸引人,買家可以用不到100美元買到原本值100美元的債券。

If bonds look less attractive, a buyer can get one earlier worth $100 for less than that.

這張債券還是付一樣的利率。

The bond still pays the same interest rate.

所以新買家得到更大的報酬率。

So the new buyer gets a bigger percentage return.

這個報酬叫做殖利率。

That return is called the yield.

當債券價格下跌,它的殖利率就上升。

When a bond's price drops, its yield rises.

反過來也是這樣。

The reverse is also true.

美國財政部是債券市場的中心。

The U.S. Treasury is the center of the bond market.

它的殖利率是大多數其他借款利率的基準。

Its yields are the baseline for most other borrowing rates.

例如,30年期固定房貸利率可能是10年期財政部殖利率再加上一些。

A 30-year fixed mortgage rate, for example, is likely the 10-year Treasury yield plus more.

這取決於借款人的信用分數。

It depends on the borrower's credit score.

不同的財政部債券影響不同的貸款。

Different Treasury bonds affect different loans.

這些包括12個月定存單和公司借款。

These include 12-month certificates of deposit and company borrowing.

它們不總是一起變動。

They do not always move together.

但現在它們都在上升。

But right now they are all rising.

10年期財政部殖利率在週四攀升到接近5.18%。

The 10-year Treasury yield climbed to nearly 5.18% on Thursday.

它回到2007年的水準。

It is back to where it was in 2007.

這個殖利率在2020年跌到低於0.50%之後,就一直上升。

The yield has been climbing since it hit a low below 0.50% in 2020.

那是因為COVID疫情。

That was because of the COVID pandemic.

和伊朗的戰爭讓油價和通膨擔心升高後,它的上升就變快了。

Its rise sped up after the war with Iran sent oil prices and inflation worries higher.

美國長期房貸平均利率達到7%,這是2025年初以來第一次。

The average long-term U.S. mortgage rate has reached 7% for the first time since early 2025.

美國公債殖利率高,也讓股票、黃金和加密貨幣的價格下跌。

High Treasury yields also hurt prices for stocks, gold, and cryptocurrencies.

最近上升很多,是因為油價變高和通膨擔心。

Much of the recent rise comes from higher oil prices and inflation worries.

它也來自政府和企業債務增加。

It also comes from growing government and corporate debt.

一部分也顯示美國經濟很穩。

Part of it also shows a solid U.S. economy.

這可能讓聯準會再次升息。

That could lead the Federal Reserve to raise rates again.

全世界的殖利率都在上升,包括德國和日本。

Yields are climbing worldwide, including in Germany and Japan.

September 24th, 2026

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