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2名美國人因經濟衝擊的研究贏得諾貝爾經濟學獎

2名美國人因經濟衝擊的研究贏得諾貝爾經濟學獎

A2🇺🇸 English → 🇹🇼 中文

October 12th, 2026

2名美國人因經濟衝擊的研究贏得諾貝爾經濟學獎

A2
Please note: This article has been simplified for language learning purposes. Some context and nuance from the original text may have been modified or removed.

🇹🇼 中文

美國經濟學家羅伯特·霍爾和麥可·伍德福德在星期一贏得諾貝爾經濟學獎。

American economists Robert E. Hall and Michael Woodford won the Nobel Memorial Prize in economics on Monday.

瑞典皇家科學院在斯德哥爾摩宣布這個獎項。

The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences announced the award in Stockholm.

委員會說,他們的研究建立了理論,說明消費者如何決定存錢或花錢。

The committee said their work built the theory for how consumers decide to save or spend.

這幫助政策制定者在經濟起伏之後穩定經濟。

This helps policymakers steady economies after ups and downs.

霍爾今年83歲。

Hall is 83.

他在史丹佛大學工作。

He works with Stanford University.

伍德福德在1955年出生。

Woodford was born in 1955.

他在哥倫比亞大學工作。

He works with Columbia University.

兩人都說這個獎是個驚喜。

Both men said the award was a surprise.

霍爾說,他一生的工作就是想了解經濟如何運作。

Hall said he spent his career trying to understand how the economy works.

很多年來,政府都聽從英國經濟學家約翰·梅納德·凱因斯的想法。

For many years, governments followed the ideas of British economist John Maynard Keynes.

這些想法來自大蕭條的時代。

These ideas came from the time of the Great Depression.

他們降低利率和稅。

They cut interest rates and taxes.

他們增加支出,來重新啟動成長。

They raised spending to restart growth.

但是在1970年代,同時有高通膨和高失業。

But in the 1970s, there was high inflation and high unemployment at the same time.

這顯示那個計畫太簡單了。

This showed that plan was too simple.

霍爾和伍德福德讓凱因斯模型變得更好。

Hall and Woodford made the Keynesian model better.

他們研究家庭和企業真正如何做決定。

They studied how households and businesses really make decisions.

霍爾發現,消費支出取決於人們預期以後會賺多少。

Hall found that consumer spending depends on what people expect to earn later.

他發現,要預測這件事幾乎不可能。

He found that predicting this is almost impossible.

他也發現,大約80%的家庭根據他們預期以後的情況來花錢。

He also found that about 80% of households spent based on what they expected later.

其餘的家庭則是把有的錢都花掉。

The rest spent whatever they had.

伍德福德指出,企業根據他們預期利率的走向來定價。

Woodford showed that businesses set prices based on where they expect interest rates to go.

他說,中央銀行應該清楚說明他們的計畫。

He said central banks should explain their plans clearly.

他說,供給衝擊之後,他們應該提高利率,以免通膨失控。

He said they should raise interest rates to stop inflation from getting out of control after supply shocks.

October 12th, 2026

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