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The 2026 election could t...

The 2026 election could test how big trades in prediction markets affect the election and its results.

A2🇰🇷 한국어 → 🇺🇸 English

September 8th, 2026

The 2026 election could test how big trades in prediction markets affect the election and its results.

Please note: This article has been simplified for language learning purposes. Some context and nuance from the original text may have been modified or removed.

🇺🇸 English

Trades about this year's election have grown a lot in prediction markets.

올해 선거와 관련된 거래가 예측 시장에서 많이 늘었습니다.

Americans bet money on election results on sites like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Polymarket과 Kalshi 같은 곳에서 미국인들이 선거 결과에 돈을 겁니다.

States want to block these platforms as casinos without permission.

주(州)들은 이 플랫폼을 허가 없는 카지노로 막으려고 합니다.

Election officials worry that betting big money can hurt trust in democracy and elections.

선거 관리자들은 큰 돈을 거는 것이 민주주의와 선거에 대한 믿음을 해칠 수 있다고 걱정합니다.

Jared DeMarinis, an election official in Maryland, called this a "worrying trend."

메릴랜드 주 선거 위원회 관리자 Jared DeMarinis는 이것을 "걱정스러운 흐름"이라고 말했습니다.

Platform workers say this activity is not gambling.

플랫폼 관계자들은 이 활동이 도박이 아니라고 말합니다.

They say it is like trading stocks or bonds.

그들은 이것이 주식이나 채권 거래와 같다고 말합니다.

Some independent analysts think the same.

일부 독립 분석가들도 같은 생각입니다.

But prediction markets already had problems this year.

그러나 예측 시장은 올해 이미 문제를 겪었습니다.

There was a time when they strongly supported the losing candidate. This was in the Wisconsin governor primary.

위스콘신 주지사 예비선거에서 진 후보를 크게 지지한 경우가 있었습니다.

In Los Angeles, famous people saw the market odds. They said the election was not fair.

로스앤젤레스에서는 유명인들이 시장 배당률을 보고 선거 부정을 주장했습니다.

Now there are many lawsuits in court about whether state governments can stop this platform.

지금 법원에는 주정부가 이 플랫폼을 막을 수 있는지에 대한 소송이 많습니다.

Analysts say rich people can change the odds to affect public opinion.

분석가들은 부자들이 여론에 영향을 주려고 배당률을 바꿀 수 있다고 말합니다.

Candidates can also use good odds to raise money.

후보자들은 좋은 배당률을 돈을 모으는 데 쓸 수도 있습니다.

A Kalshi official said price manipulation fails in markets with many trades.

Kalshi 관계자는 거래가 많은 시장에서는 가격 조작이 실패한다고 말했습니다.

Professor Joshua Mitts of Columbia University said he can understand why states want to stop these trades. They want to protect elections.

Columbia 대학의 Joshua Mitts 교수는 주정부가 선거를 지키기 위해 이런 거래를 막으려는 이유를 이해할 수 있다고 말했습니다.

September 8th, 2026

The Lingo Times

The 2026 election could test how big trades in prediction markets affect the election and its results.

The 2026 election could test how big trades in prediction markets affect the election and its results.

🇺🇸 English

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