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为什么债券收益率在上升,为什么每个人都应该关心

为什么债券收益率在上升,为什么每个人都应该关心

A1🇺🇸 English → 🇨🇳 中文

September 24th, 2026

为什么债券收益率在上升,为什么每个人都应该关心

A1
Please note: This article has been simplified for language learning purposes. Some context and nuance from the original text may have been modified or removed.

🇨🇳 中文

债券收益率是大约20年来最高的。

Bond yields are at their highest in about 20 years.

这对借钱的人来说很重要。

This matters to people who borrow money.

这对有通货膨胀问题的人来说很重要。

It matters to people with inflation problems.

这对建AI数据中心的企业很重要。

It matters to businesses that build AI data centers.

这对不借钱的人也很重要。

It also matters to people who do not borrow.

存钱的人可以从债券赚更多利息。

Savers can earn more interest from bonds.

他们可以从高收益储蓄账户赚更多。

They can earn more from high-yield savings accounts.

但是他们401(k)账户里的股票可能亏钱。

But stocks in their 401(k) accounts could lose value.

对美国纳税人来说,更高的收益率意味着政府付更多利息。

For U.S. taxpayers, higher yields mean the government pays more interest.

所以留给其他需要的钱更少了。

So less money is left for other needs.

政府和大公司需要钱。

Governments and big companies need money.

他们把借条卖给投资者。

They sell IOUs to investors.

他们不向银行借钱。

They do not ask banks for loans.

很多年后才还钱的借条叫债券。

IOUs paid back years later are called bonds.

投资者在债券市场买卖它们。

Investors trade them in the bond market.

一个债券以后可能值100美元。

A bond may be worth $100 later.

但是买家现在可以花更少的钱买到它。

But a buyer can get it now for less.

这个债券还是付一样的利息。

The bond still pays the same interest rate.

所以新买家得到更多的钱。

So the new buyer gets a bigger return.

这个回报叫收益率。

That return is called the yield.

债券价格下降,收益率就上升。

When a bond's price drops, its yield rises.

反过来也是对的。

The opposite is also true.

美国财政部是债券市场的中心。

The U.S. Treasury is the center of the bond market.

它的收益率是很多其他借款利率的基础。

Its yields set the base for most other borrowing rates.

30年固定房贷利率是一个例子。

A 30-year fixed mortgage rate is one example.

它常常是10年期美国国债收益率再加一些。

It is often the 10-year Treasury yield plus more.

这取决于借款人的信用分数。

It depends on the borrower's credit score.

不同的美国国债影响不同的贷款。

Different Treasury bonds affect different loans.

这些包括12个月定期存款和公司借款。

These include 12-month certificates of deposit and company borrowing.

它们不总是一起变化。

They do not always move together.

但是现在它们都在上升。

But right now they are all rising.

10年期美国国债收益率在星期四达到近5.18%。

The 10-year Treasury yield hit nearly 5.18% on Thursday.

这就是它在2007年的水平。

That is where it was in 2007.

收益率从2020年开始上涨。

The yield has climbed since 2020.

那时它低于0.50%。

It was below 0.50% then.

那是因为新冠疫情。

That was because of the COVID pandemic.

它和伊朗的战争后涨得更快。

Its rise sped up after the war with Iran.

这让油价更高。

That sent oil prices higher.

这也让通胀担忧更高。

It also sent inflation worries higher.

美国长期房贷平均利率现在是7%。

The average long-term U.S. mortgage rate is now 7%.

这是2025年初以来的第一次。

That is the first time since early 2025.

高国债收益率也伤害股票、黄金和加密货币的价格。

High Treasury yields also hurt prices for stocks, gold, and cryptocurrencies.

最近的上涨来自更高的油价。

The recent rise comes from higher oil prices.

它来自通胀担忧。

It comes from inflation worries.

它来自更多政府和公司债务。

It comes from more government and corporate debt.

一部分显示美国经济很好。

Part of it shows a solid U.S. economy.

这可能让美联储再次加息。

That could lead the Federal Reserve to raise rates again.

收益率在全球上涨。

Yields are climbing worldwide.

这包括德国和日本。

This includes Germany and Japan.

September 24th, 2026

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