The new Fed chair, Kevin Warsh, changed how the central bank talks.
新任聯儲局主席 Kevin Warsh 改變了央行的溝通方式。
He says much less about the economy and inflation than the previous chair did.
他對經濟和通脹的表述,遠少於前任主席。
Many economists and Wall Street investors are not happy about this.
許多經濟學家和華爾街投資者對此並不滿意。
On Friday, he will give a speech at the Fed's yearly meeting in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.
週五,他將在懷俄明州傑克遜霍爾的聯儲局年度研討會上發表演講。
This is his chance to answer worries and show he is serious about fighting inflation.
這是他回應擔憂、強調對抗通脹誠意的機會。
Economists want him to clearly explain how the Fed should deal with inflation that stays high.
經濟學家希望他明確說明,聯儲局應如何應對持續高企的通脹。
At the last press conference, he avoided questions about whether he would raise interest rates, which caused confusion.
在上次新聞發布會上,他迴避了關於是否會加息的提問,引發混亂。
Warsh is unwilling to give "forward guidance," because he thinks it would limit the Fed's flexibility.
Warsh 不願提供「前瞻性指引」,他認為這會限制聯儲局的靈活性。
But David Wilcox from the Peterson Institute for International Economics says he could at least clarify the framework. That framework guides monetary policy.
但彼得森國際經濟研究所的 David Wilcox 表示,他至少可以釐清指導貨幣政策的概念框架。
Last month, Warsh said the speech would focus on "big issues" like AI, productivity, and demographics.
Warsh 上月表示,演講將聚焦人工智能、生產率和人口結構等「大問題」。
Inflation cooled after rising sharply in May and June, but it is still above the 2% target.
通脹在 5 月和 6 月飆升後已降溫,但仍高於 2% 目標。
Surveys show that most Americans see the cost of basic goods as the top economic issue. The midterm elections are coming.
調查顯示,多數美國人認為必需品可負擔性是中期選舉前的首要經濟問題。
At the press conference on July 29, interest rates rose. This pushed up mortgage costs because the Fed kept its key rate unchanged.
在 7 月 29 日的新聞發布會上,利率上升,推高按揭成本,因聯儲局維持基準利率不變。
Gennadiy Goldberg of TD Securities said Warsh "actually lost the market" during his speech.
道明證券的 Gennadiy Goldberg 說,Warsh 在講話時「實際上失去了市場」。
He talked about lowering inflation, but he did not answer reporters' questions about specific steps.
他談論降低通脹,但未回答記者關於具體措施的提問。
Political pressure also grew. President Trump kept calling for rate cuts and tried to remove Fed board member Lisa Cook.
政治壓力也加劇,總統特朗普持續呼籲降息,並試圖罷免聯儲局理事 Lisa Cook。
Diane Swonk of KPMG said Warsh's speech was a chance to show the Fed's independence.
畢馬威的 Diane Swonk 說,Warsh 的演講是展示聯儲局獨立性的機會。
Economists think that if he explains his response to inflation more clearly, it can ease worries.
經濟學家認為,只要他更明確說明對通脹的反應,就能緩解擔憂。
Derek Tang of Monetary Policy Analytics said that as long as yields do not rise, it is a win.
貨幣政策分析諮詢公司的 Derek Tang 說,只要孳息率不上升就是勝利。